Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juve Stabia win with a probability of 40.52%. A win for Cesena had a probability of 31.66% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juve Stabia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Cesena win was 0-1 (10.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Juve Stabia in this match.