Coverage of the Serie B clash between Modena and Ternana.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Brescia 0-1 Modena
Tuesday, October 24 at 5.30pm in Serie B
Tuesday, October 24 at 5.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Ternana 0-1 Brescia
Saturday, October 21 at 1pm in Serie B
Saturday, October 21 at 1pm in Serie B
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Modena win with a probability of 40.29%. A win for Ternana had a probability of 32.38% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Modena win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Ternana win was 0-1 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Modena would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Modena | Draw | Ternana |
40.29% ( -0.02) | 27.33% ( 0.01) | 32.38% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 49.32% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.89% ( -0.03) | 56.11% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.82% ( -0.02) | 77.18% ( 0.02) |
| Modena Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.71% ( -0.03) | 27.29% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.27% ( -0.04) | 62.73% ( 0.03) |
| Ternana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.84% ( -0) | 32.16% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.35% ( -0) | 68.64% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
Modena 40.28%
Ternana 32.38%
Draw 27.33%
| Modena | Draw | Ternana |
| 1-0 @ 11.39% 2-1 @ 8.4% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.4% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.63% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.2% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.06% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.18% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 1.98% Total : 40.28% | 1-1 @ 12.93% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.78% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.76% ( -0)Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.33% | 0-1 @ 9.96% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.33% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.65% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.77% 0-3 @ 2.14% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.8% ( -0)Other @ 2.73% Total : 32.38% |
Head to Head
Jan 28, 2023 1pm
Aug 27, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Modena
4-1
Ternana
Diaw (23' pen.), Capuano (32' og.), Falcinelli (64'), Tremolada (68')
Cittadini (7'), De Maio (45+1'), Falcinelli (65')
Cittadini (7'), De Maio (45+1'), Falcinelli (65')
Favilli (50')
