Serie B | Gameweek 11
Oct 29, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Stadio Alberto Braglia
Modena2 - 1Ternana
FT(HT: 1-0)
Dionisi (90+4')
Luperini (46'), Diakite (55')
Luperini (46'), Diakite (55')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Modena and Ternana.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Brescia 0-1 Modena
Tuesday, October 24 at 5.30pm in Serie B
Tuesday, October 24 at 5.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Ternana 0-1 Brescia
Saturday, October 21 at 1pm in Serie B
Saturday, October 21 at 1pm in Serie B
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Modena win with a probability of 40.29%. A win for Ternana had a probability of 32.38% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Modena win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Ternana win was 0-1 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Modena would win this match.
Result | ||
Modena | Draw | Ternana |
40.29% ( -0.02) | 27.33% ( 0.01) | 32.38% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 49.32% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.89% ( -0.03) | 56.11% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.82% ( -0.02) | 77.18% ( 0.02) |
Modena Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.71% ( -0.03) | 27.29% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.27% ( -0.04) | 62.73% ( 0.03) |
Ternana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.84% ( -0) | 32.16% ( 0.01) |