Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 49.27%. A win for Ternana had a probability of 26.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Ternana win was 0-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
