Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 51.99%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Crotone had a probability of 23.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%), while for a Crotone win it was 0-1 (6.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
