Coverage of the Serie B clash between Perugia and Ternana.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Ascoli 1-0 Perugia
Saturday, February 11 at 3.15pm in Serie B
Saturday, February 11 at 3.15pm in Serie B
Last Game: Ternana 1-1 Parma
Saturday, February 11 at 3.15pm in Serie B
Saturday, February 11 at 3.15pm in Serie B
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perugia win with a probability of 46.05%. A win for Ternana had a probability of 28.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Perugia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Ternana win was 0-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Perugia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Perugia | Draw | Ternana |
46.05% ( 0) | 25.94% ( -0) | 28.01% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 51.41% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.55% ( -0) | 52.44% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.88% ( -0) | 74.12% ( 0) |
| Perugia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.26% ( -0) | 22.74% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.58% ( -0) | 56.42% |
| Ternana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.55% ( -0) | 33.45% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.91% ( -0.01) | 70.08% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
Perugia 46.04%
Ternana 28.01%
Draw 25.94%
| Perugia | Draw | Ternana |
| 1-0 @ 11.26% 2-1 @ 9.14% 2-0 @ 8.34% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.51% 3-0 @ 4.12% 3-2 @ 2.47% 4-1 @ 1.67% 4-0 @ 1.53% 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.1% Total : 46.04% | 1-1 @ 12.33% 0-0 @ 7.61% ( 0)2-2 @ 5% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.9% ( -0)Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.94% | 0-1 @ 8.33% 1-2 @ 6.76% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.56% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.47% 2-3 @ 1.83% 0-3 @ 1.67% Other @ 2.4% Total : 28.01% |
Head to Head
Sep 18, 2022 3.15pm
Apr 30, 2022 1pm
Ternana
1-0
Perugia
Donnarumma (36')
Proietti (29'), Palumbo (62'), Iannarilli (73'), Paghera (90+2')
Proietti (29'), Palumbo (62'), Iannarilli (73'), Paghera (90+2')
Curado (61'), Rosi (87')
Dec 19, 2021 3.15pm
Perugia
1-1
Ternana
Kouan (30')
Burrai (17'), Sgarbi (77')
Burrai (17'), Sgarbi (77')
Apr 22, 2018 2pm
Perugia
2-3
Ternana
Tremolada (43'), Montalto (52', 80')
Favalli (54')
Favalli (54')
Nov 26, 2017 2pm
Ternana
1-1
Perugia
Montalto (36' pen.)
Montalto (45'), Signorini (60'), Carretta (77'), Paolucci (88')
Montalto (45'), Signorini (60'), Carretta (77'), Paolucci (88')
