Coverage of the Serie B clash between Perugia and Ternana.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Ascoli 1-0 Perugia
Saturday, February 11 at 3.15pm in Serie B
Saturday, February 11 at 3.15pm in Serie B
Last Game: Ternana 1-1 Parma
Saturday, February 11 at 3.15pm in Serie B
Saturday, February 11 at 3.15pm in Serie B
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perugia win with a probability of 46.05%. A win for Ternana had a probability of 28.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Perugia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Ternana win was 0-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Perugia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Perugia | Draw | Ternana |
46.05% ( 0) | 25.94% ( -0) | 28.01% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 51.41% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
