Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pisa win with a probability of 38.36%. A win for Frosinone had a probability of 33.68% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pisa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.04%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Frosinone win was 0-1 (10.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.