Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pisa win with a probability of 43.59%. A win for Perugia had a probability of 28.44% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pisa win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.53%) and 2-1 (8.48%). The likeliest Perugia win was 0-1 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
