Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salernitana win with a probability of 46.84%. A win for Ascoli had a probability of 27.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salernitana win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest Ascoli win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Salernitana in this match.