Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ascoli win with a probability of 38.32%. A win for Brescia had a probability of 35.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ascoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest Brescia win was 1-0 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
