Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezia win with a probability of 41.68%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 29.48% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.27%) and 2-1 (8.09%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 0-1 (10.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
