Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 44.39%. A win for Venezia had a probability of 32.19% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.39%) and 2-0 (6.33%). The likeliest Venezia win was 1-2 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.