MX23RW : Friday, November 8 19:16:43| >> :60:884:884:
USA national football team
Women's World Cup | Group Stage
Jul 27, 2023 at 2am UK
Westpac Stadium
Netherlands national football team

USA Women
1 - 1
N'lands Women

Horan (62')
Lavelle (51')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Roord (17')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Women's World Cup clash between USA Women and Netherlands Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Women's World Cup
Last Game: USA Women 3-0 Vietnam Women
Saturday, July 22 at 2am in Women's World Cup
All competitions
Women's World Cup
Last Game: N'lands Women 1-0 Portugal Women
Sunday, July 23 at 8.30am in Women's World Cup

We said: USA Women 2-1 Netherlands Women

We think that the two highest-ranked teams in the group will produce an intriguing encounter, and while the Netherlands have enough quality to trouble the USA, we believe that the world champions will continue their fine run of form to claim a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA Women win with a probability of 64.73%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Netherlands Women had a probability of 15.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.95%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.3%), while for a Netherlands Women win it was 0-1 (4.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.

Result
USA WomenDrawNetherlands Women
64.73% (0.081999999999994 0.08) 19.77% (-0.087 -0.09) 15.5% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
Both teams to score 53.49% (0.332 0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.06% (0.425 0.42)40.94% (-0.419 -0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.67% (0.433 0.43)63.33% (-0.426 -0.43)
USA Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.08% (0.152 0.15)11.92% (-0.145 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.74% (0.316 0.32)37.26% (-0.31 -0.31)
Netherlands Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.73% (0.276 0.28)39.27% (-0.27 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.02% (0.256 0.26)75.98% (-0.25 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    USA Women 64.72%
    Netherlands Women 15.5%
    Draw 19.77%
USA WomenDrawNetherlands Women
2-0 @ 10.58% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-0 @ 9.95% (-0.126 -0.13)
2-1 @ 9.9% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 7.51% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.02% (0.039 0.04)
4-0 @ 3.99% (0.015 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.73% (0.042 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.28% (0.042 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.74% (0.032 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.7% (0.016 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.59% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 64.72%
1-1 @ 9.3% (-0.055 -0.05)
0-0 @ 4.68% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-2 @ 4.63% (0.033 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.02% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 19.77%
0-1 @ 4.37% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-2 @ 4.35% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.04% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.44% (0.021 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.36% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 15.5%

How you voted: USA Women vs N'lands Women

USA Women
61.8%
Draw
21.8%
Netherlands Women
16.4%
55
Head to Head
Jul 30, 2021 12pm
Quarter-Finals
N'lands Women
2-2
USA Women
USA Women win 4-2 on penalties
Miedema (18', 54')
van de Donk (90+4')
Mewis (28'), Williams (31')
Horan (77'), O'Hara (115')
Jul 7, 2019 4pm
Final
USA Women
2-0
N'lands Women
Rapinoe (61' pen.), Lavelle (69')
Dahlkemper (42')

Spitse (10'), van der Gragt (60')
rhs 2.0
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