MX23RW : Sunday, October 6 11:40:49| >> :60:501:501:
Sweden national football team
Women's World Cup | Round of 16
Aug 6, 2023 at 10am UK
AAMI Park
USA national football team

Sweden Women
0 - 0
USA Women


Asllani (49')
FT
(aet)

Ertz (119')
Sweden Women win 5-4 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's World Cup clash between Sweden Women and USA Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Women's World Cup
Last Game: Argentina Women 0-2 Sweden Women
Wednesday, August 2 at 8am in Women's World Cup
All competitions
Women's World Cup
Last Game: Portugal Women 0-0 USA Women
Tuesday, August 1 at 8am in Women's World Cup

We say: Sweden Women 2-1 USA Women

There have been signs in the group stage that the USA's dominance at the Women's World Cup could be coming to an end, and we think that they the record winners will be eliminated by a Sweden side that have been in fine form at the tournament, having won all three of their matches, scoring nine goals and only conceding on just one occasion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden Women win with a probability of 48.09%. A win for USA Women had a probability of 26.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sweden Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest USA Women win was 0-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%).

Result
Sweden WomenDrawUSA Women
48.09% (0.415 0.41) 25.25% (0.356 0.36) 26.66% (-0.769 -0.77)
Both teams to score 52.56% (-1.735 -1.74)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.53% (-1.99 -1.99)50.46% (1.991 1.99)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.6% (-1.787 -1.79)72.39% (1.789 1.79)
Sweden Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.99% (-0.629 -0.63)21% (0.632 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.21% (-0.993 -0.99)53.78% (0.994 0.99)
USA Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.53% (-1.652 -1.65)33.46% (1.654 1.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.9% (-1.85 -1.85)70.09% (1.853 1.85)
Score Analysis
    Sweden Women 48.08%
    USA Women 26.66%
    Draw 25.24%
Sweden WomenDrawUSA Women
1-0 @ 10.96% (0.66 0.66)
2-1 @ 9.37% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.56% (0.356 0.36)
3-1 @ 4.87% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-0 @ 4.45% (0.102 0.1)
3-2 @ 2.67% (-0.186 -0.19)
4-1 @ 1.9% (-0.08 -0.08)
4-0 @ 1.74% (0.006 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.04% (-0.094 -0.09)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 48.08%
1-1 @ 12% (0.2 0.2)
0-0 @ 7.03% (0.548 0.55)
2-2 @ 5.13% (-0.252 -0.25)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.116 -0.12)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.24%
0-1 @ 7.69% (0.271 0.27)
1-2 @ 6.57% (-0.192 -0.19)
0-2 @ 4.21% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.4% (-0.185 -0.19)
2-3 @ 1.87% (-0.183 -0.18)
0-3 @ 1.54% (-0.086 -0.09)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 26.66%

How you voted: 1st Group G vs 2nd Group E

1st Group G
68.8%
Draw
9.4%
2nd Group E
21.9%
64
Head to Head
Jul 21, 2021 9.30am
Group Stage
Sweden Women
3-0
USA Women
Blackstenius (25', 55'), Hurtig (72')
Jun 20, 2019 8pm
Group Stage
Sweden Women
0-2
USA Women

Jakobsson (87')
Horan (3'), Andersson (50' og.)
O'Hara (59')
Jun 13, 2015 1am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
2.30pm
Jets
@
Vikings
6pm
Panthers
@
Bears
6pm
Ravens
@
Bengals
6pm
Colts
@
Jags
6pm
Dolphins
@
Patriots
6pm
Bills
@
Texans
6pm
Browns
@
Washington
9.05pm
Cardinals
@
49ers
9.05pm
Raiders
@
Broncos
9.25pm
Packers
@
Rams
9.25pm
Giants
@
Seahawks
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool76011321118
2Manchester CityMan City7520178917
3Arsenal7520156917
4Chelsea6411157813
5Aston Villa6411129313
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle733187112
7Fulham7322108211
8Tottenham HotspurSpurs6312125710
9Brentford73131313010
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton623110829
11Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest62316519
12West Ham UnitedWest Ham72231011-18
13Bournemouth7223810-28
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd621358-37
15Leicester CityLeicester7133912-36
16Everton7124715-85
17Ipswich TownIpswich7043614-84
18Crystal Palace7034510-53
19Southampton7016415-111
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves7016921-121


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!