MX23RW : Sunday, October 6 09:23:42| >> :60:733:733:
Portugal national football team
Women's World Cup | Group Stage
Aug 1, 2023 at 8am UK
Eden Park
USA national football team

Portugal Women
0 - 0
USA Women


Costa (56'), Gomes (72'), Amado (85')
FT

Lavelle (39'), Smith (52'), Haile Girma (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Women's World Cup clash between Portugal Women and USA Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Women's World Cup
Last Game: Portugal Women 2-0 Vietnam Women
Thursday, July 27 at 8.30am in Women's World Cup
All competitions
Women's World Cup
Last Game: USA Women 1-1 N'lands Women
Thursday, July 27 at 2am in Women's World Cup

We said: Portugal Women 0-2 USA Women

Portugal will be looking to cause one of the biggest shocks in Women's World Cup history, but we think that their hopes of reaching the last 16 will be quashed by the record winners, who should have enough quality to claim all three points with minimum fuss. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal Women win with a probability of 50.43%. A win for USA Women had a probability of 25.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest USA Women win was 0-1 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
Portugal WomenDrawUSA Women
50.43% (-1.683 -1.68) 24.26% (0.716 0.72) 25.32% (0.974 0.97)
Both teams to score 54.48% (-1.323 -1.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.64% (-2.23 -2.23)47.36% (2.236 2.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.42% (-2.102 -2.1)69.58% (2.11 2.11)
Portugal Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.19% (-1.482 -1.48)18.81% (1.489 1.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.77% (-2.542 -2.54)50.23% (2.549 2.55)
USA Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.1% (-0.392 -0.39)32.9% (0.399 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.53% (-0.441 -0.44)69.47% (0.44799999999999 0.45)
Score Analysis
    Portugal Women 50.42%
    USA Women 25.32%
    Draw 24.26%
Portugal WomenDrawUSA Women
1-0 @ 10.33% (0.461 0.46)
2-1 @ 9.6% (-0.121 -0.12)
2-0 @ 8.64% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.35% (-0.335 -0.34)
3-0 @ 4.81% (-0.246 -0.25)
3-2 @ 2.97% (-0.221 -0.22)
4-1 @ 2.23% (-0.257 -0.26)
4-0 @ 2.01% (-0.207 -0.21)
4-2 @ 1.24% (-0.158 -0.16)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 50.42%
1-1 @ 11.49% (0.4 0.4)
0-0 @ 6.19% (0.558 0.56)
2-2 @ 5.34% (-0.127 -0.13)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.095 -0.1)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.26%
0-1 @ 6.88% (0.553 0.55)
1-2 @ 6.39% (0.156 0.16)
0-2 @ 3.82% (0.269 0.27)
1-3 @ 2.37% (0.033 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.98% (-0.069 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1.42% (0.085 0.09)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 25.32%

How you voted: Portugal Women vs USA Women

Portugal Women
19.0%
Draw
5.1%
USA Women
75.9%
79
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