Slovenian PrvaLiga | Gameweek 2
Jul 30, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Ljudski vrt
Maribor1 - 0Aluminij
Coverage of the Slovenian PrvaLiga clash between Maribor and Aluminij.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Differdange 1-1 Maribor
Thursday, July 27 at 6.30pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, July 27 at 6.30pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Aluminij 2-2 Celje
Sunday, July 23 at 7.15pm in Slovenian PrvaLiga
Sunday, July 23 at 7.15pm in Slovenian PrvaLiga
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maribor win with a probability of 54.79%. A win for Aluminij had a probability of 23.12% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maribor win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Aluminij win was 1-2 (6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maribor would win this match.
Result | ||
Maribor | Draw | Aluminij |
54.79% ( -0.11) | 22.09% ( 0.01) | 23.12% ( 0.1) |
Both teams to score 59.28% ( 0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.15% ( 0.07) | 39.85% ( -0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.79% ( 0.08) | 62.21% ( -0.07) |
Maribor Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.48% ( -0.01) | 14.52% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.47% ( -0.02) | 42.53% ( 0.02) |
Aluminij Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.34% ( 0.13) | 30.66% ( -0.12) |