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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 32
Apr 29, 2023 at 2pm UK
Vefa Stadı
Antalyaspor logo (not for use in articles)

Karagumruk
0 - 1
Antalyaspor


Bertolacci (59')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sinik (21')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Fatih Karagumruk and Antalyaspor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Galatasaray 3-3 Karagumruk
Sunday, April 23 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Antalyaspor 1-2 Sivasspor
Monday, April 24 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Fatih Karagumruk 3-1 Antalyaspor

Pirlo's men have averaged 2.4 goals at home in their last five matches in Fatih, so goalscoring is not an issue for Karagumruk. They are likely to concede at the other end but should have too much firepower for Antalyaspor in what could be a high-scoring encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 42.01%. A win for Antalyaspor had a probability of 34.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.51%) and 2-0 (6.12%). The likeliest Antalyaspor win was 1-2 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
Fatih KaragumrukDrawAntalyaspor
42.01% (0.101 0.1) 23.85% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08) 34.14% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 61.48% (0.297 0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.37% (0.392 0.39)40.62% (-0.387 -0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.99% (0.4 0.4)63.01% (-0.395 -0.39)
Fatih Karagumruk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.38% (0.212 0.21)19.61% (-0.207 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.43% (0.337 0.34)51.56% (-0.332 -0.33)
Antalyaspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.49% (0.173 0.17)23.51% (-0.168 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.45% (0.25 0.25)57.55% (-0.245 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    Fatih Karagumruk 42.01%
    Antalyaspor 34.14%
    Draw 23.85%
Fatih KaragumrukDrawAntalyaspor
2-1 @ 8.86% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-0 @ 7.51% (-0.085 -0.09)
2-0 @ 6.12% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.81% (0.032 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.48% (0.04 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.32% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.96% (0.025 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.42% (0.026 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.35% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 42.01%
1-1 @ 10.87% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-2 @ 6.41% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 4.61% (-0.082 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.68% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.85%
1-2 @ 7.87% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.68% (-0.085 -0.09)
0-2 @ 4.83% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.8% (0.015 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.09% (0.031 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.33% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.38% (0.012 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.12% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 34.14%

How you voted: Karagumruk vs Antalyaspor

Fatih Karagumruk
75.0%
Draw
12.5%
Antalyaspor
12.5%
8
Head to Head
Nov 6, 2022 2pm
gameweek 13
Antalyaspor
4-2
Karagumruk
Wright (35'), Vural (41', 84'), Sari (45+2')
Colley (4'), Diagne (19')
Viviano (30')
Feb 13, 2022 1pm
gameweek 25
Antalyaspor
3-0
Karagumruk
Fernando (17'), Kudryashov (30'), Mehmedi (85')
Mehmedi (71')

Bistrovic (58'), Biglia (68'), Viviano (71')
Sep 21, 2021 3pm
gameweek 6
Karagumruk
0-0
Antalyaspor

Ugur (40'), Durmaz (44'), Arveladze (85'), Balkovec (87')

Wright (28'), Crivelli (48')
Apr 28, 2021 2pm
gameweek 38
Karagumruk
2-2
Antalyaspor
Albayrak (13' og.), Borini (24')
Bertolacci (49'), Roco (62'), Zukanovic (87'), Castro (89')
Fredy (34' pen.), Amilton (90+3')
Akyol (45'), Boffin (90+1')
Jan 6, 2021 4pm
gameweek 17
Antalyaspor
3-1
Karagumruk
Ozmert (19' pen.), Bayrakdar (37'), Albayrak (71')
Sahin (33')
Balkovec (10')
Altinay (18'), Roco (23'), Colak (90+2')
Roco (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray20173053223154
2Fenerbahce20153252203248
3Samsunspor21124534231140
4EyupsporEyupspor21116434191539
5Goztepe SKGoztepe SK20104640261434
6Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul219573930932
7BesiktasBesiktas208842921832
8Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor208392231-927
9TrabzonsporTrabzonspor2068634241026
10GaziantepGaziantep207582628-226
11AlanyasporAlanyaspor206772428-425
12KasimpasaKasimpasa2051053237-525
13AntalyasporAntalyaspor2174102541-1625
14KonyasporKonyaspor216692733-624
15SivassporSivasspor2165102635-923
16KayserisporKayserispor203891939-2017
17Bodrumspor2144131529-1416
18Hatayspor2117132340-1710
19Adana Demirspor2022161745-285


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