While Fatih Karagumruk will be looking to extend their fine run of form, Jesus's side know that they cannot afford any more slip-ups if they are to catch Galatasaray at the top of the table. We predict plenty of goalmouth action at the Ataturk Olympic Stadium on Monday with Fenerbahce claiming all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 58.95%. A win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 21.1% and a draw had a probability of 20%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.49%) and 1-3 (7.07%). The likeliest Fatih Karagumruk win was 2-1 (5.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Fenerbahce in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Fenerbahce.

Result
Fatih Karagumruk	Draw	Fenerbahce
21.1% ( -0.38)	19.95% ( -0.15)	58.95% ( 0.53)

Both teams to score 64.23% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.89% (

0.21)

32.11% (

-0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.31% (

0.25)

53.69% (

-0.25)

Fatih Karagumruk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.01% (

-0.2)

27.99% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.37% (

-0.25)

63.63% (

0.25)

Fenerbahce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.2% (

0.2)

10.8% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.16% (

0.45)

34.84% (

-0.45)

Score Analysis

Fatih Karagumruk 21.1%

Fenerbahce 58.95%

Draw 19.95%

Fatih Karagumruk	Draw	Fenerbahce
2-1 @ 5.46% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 3.85% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 2.45% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 2.32% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.41% Total : 21.1%	1-1 @ 8.57% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 6.07% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 3.02% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.38% Total : 19.95%	1-2 @ 9.53% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.49% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 7.07% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 6.73% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 5.55% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 4.5% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 3.94% ( 0.07) 0-4 @ 3.09% ( 0.07) 2-4 @ 2.51% ( 0.03) 1-5 @ 1.75% ( 0.04) 0-5 @ 1.38% ( 0.04) 2-5 @ 1.12% ( 0.02) 3-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.23% Total : 58.95%