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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 30
Apr 18, 2023 at 6.30pm UK
Vefa Stadı
Umraniyespor

Karagumruk
4 - 2
Umraniyespor

Lobzhanidze (45+1'), Borini (45+6' pen., 52' pen.), Diagne (75')
Shukurov (34'), Diagne (40'), Dresevic (83'), Viviano (90+9'), Kapacak (90+5')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Nayir (36' pen.), Kayode (62')
Kayode (45+8'), Glumac (45+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Fatih Karagumruk and Umraniyespor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Karagumruk 1-2 Fenerbahce
Monday, April 10 at 6.30pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Kayserispor 3-1 Umraniyespor
Monday, April 10 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Fatih Karagumruk 2-1 Umraniyespor

On a run of one win since early January, Unraniyespor head into Tuesday knowing that another defeat could see them slip further into trouble at the bottom end of the table. However, they face a resolute Karagumruk side who will be looking to bounce back from their defeat to Fenerbahce. While we expect the visitors to put up a fight, we are backing Pirlo's side to come away with a slender victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 51.53%. A win for Umraniyespor had a probability of 27.01% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.48%) and 1-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Umraniyespor win was 1-2 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.12%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fatih Karagumruk would win this match.

Result
Fatih KaragumrukDrawUmraniyespor
51.53% (-1.139 -1.14) 21.45% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07) 27.01% (1.199 1.2)
Both teams to score 66.06% (1.462 1.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.16% (1.414 1.41)32.83% (-1.421 -1.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.47% (1.615 1.62)54.52% (-1.621 -1.62)
Fatih Karagumruk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.88% (0.137 0.14)13.12% (-0.144 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.23% (0.285 0.28)39.76% (-0.293 -0.29)
Umraniyespor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.04% (1.562 1.56)23.96% (-1.567 -1.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.81% (2.186 2.19)58.19% (-2.193 -2.19)
Score Analysis
    Fatih Karagumruk 51.53%
    Umraniyespor 27.01%
    Draw 21.45%
Fatih KaragumrukDrawUmraniyespor
2-1 @ 9.26% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-0 @ 6.48% (-0.425 -0.43)
1-0 @ 6.38% (-0.456 -0.46)
3-1 @ 6.27% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-2 @ 4.48% (0.144 0.14)
3-0 @ 4.39% (-0.263 -0.26)
4-1 @ 3.19% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-2 @ 2.28% (0.085 0.09)
4-0 @ 2.23% (-0.121 -0.12)
5-1 @ 1.29% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-3 @ 1.08% (0.087 0.09)
5-2 @ 0.92% (0.039 0.04)
5-0 @ 0.91% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 51.53%
1-1 @ 9.12% (-0.217 -0.22)
2-2 @ 6.62% (0.177 0.18)
0-0 @ 3.14% (-0.243 -0.24)
3-3 @ 2.13% (0.16 0.16)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 21.45%
1-2 @ 6.52% (0.141 0.14)
0-1 @ 4.49% (-0.132 -0.13)
0-2 @ 3.21% (0.052 0.05)
2-3 @ 3.15% (0.22 0.22)
1-3 @ 3.1% (0.202 0.2)
0-3 @ 1.53% (0.092 0.09)
2-4 @ 1.13% (0.125 0.13)
1-4 @ 1.11% (0.118 0.12)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 27.01%

How you voted: Karagumruk vs Umraniyespor

Fatih Karagumruk
87.5%
Draw
12.5%
Umraniyespor
0.0%
16
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2022 12.30pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray16142047192844
2Fenerbahce16113240152536
3Samsunspor1693429171230
4Goztepe SKGoztepe SK1684431211028
5EyupsporEyupspor177642518727
6BesiktasBesiktas167542518726
7Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul156452521422
8GaziantepGaziantep166372224-221
9AntalyasporAntalyaspor166372028-821
10KonyasporKonyaspor165561823-520
11Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor166281625-920
12TrabzonsporTrabzonspor164752422219
13KasimpasaKasimpasa154742021-119
14SivassporSivasspor175482027-719
15AlanyasporAlanyaspor164661619-318
16KayserisporKayserispor163671632-1615
17Bodrumspor1642101222-1014
18Hatayspor151681324-119
19Adana Demirspor1512121235-232


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