Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 57.96%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Caykur Rizespor had a probability of 18.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.9%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.04%), while for a Caykur Rizespor win it was 0-1 (6.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fatih Karagumruk would win this match.