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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 3
Sep 28, 2023 at 6pm UK
Ulker Stadyumu Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu Spor Kompleksi
Istanbul Basaksehir

Fenerbahce
4 - 0
Istanbul

Djiku (5'), Duarte (10' og.), Szymanski (20', 80')
Kahveci (39'), Djiku (67'), Szymanski (71'), Oosterwolde (76')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Figueiredo (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Fenerbahce and Istanbul Basaksehir, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Fenerbahce 3-0 Istanbul Basaksehir

While Fenerbahce have conceded three goals across five Super Lig victories this season, Istanbul Basaksehir have scored three goals while suffering four defeats. With that in mind, we expect the Yellow Canaries to cruise to another comfortable win on home soil, piling more pressure on Atan and his players. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 66.83%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 14.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 1-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.68%), while for a Istanbul Basaksehir win it was 1-2 (4.13%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.

Result
FenerbahceDrawIstanbul Basaksehir
66.83% (0.084999999999994 0.08) 18.66% (0.071000000000002 0.07) 14.51% (-0.155 -0.15)
Both teams to score 54.92% (-0.692 -0.69)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.15% (-0.694 -0.69)37.85% (0.693 0.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.9% (-0.745 -0.74)60.1% (0.746 0.75)
Fenerbahce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.52% (-0.172 -0.17)10.48% (0.173 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.89% (-0.386 -0.39)34.11% (0.386 0.39)
Istanbul Basaksehir Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.35% (-0.65300000000001 -0.65)38.65% (0.653 0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.61% (-0.627 -0.63)75.39% (0.627 0.63)
Score Analysis
    Fenerbahce 66.83%
    Istanbul Basaksehir 14.51%
    Draw 18.66%
FenerbahceDrawIstanbul Basaksehir
2-0 @ 10.3% (0.19 0.19)
2-1 @ 9.8% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.13% (0.236 0.24)
3-0 @ 7.75% (0.09 0.09)
3-1 @ 7.37% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-0 @ 4.37% (0.019 0.02)
4-1 @ 4.16% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.5% (-0.084 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.98% (-0.063 -0.06)
5-0 @ 1.97% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.88% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 4.63%
Total : 66.83%
1-1 @ 8.68% (0.073 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.66% (-0.078 -0.08)
0-0 @ 4.05% (0.133 0.13)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 18.66%
1-2 @ 4.13% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
0-1 @ 3.85% (0.061 0.06)
0-2 @ 1.83% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.48% (-0.051 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.31% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 14.51%

How you voted: Fenerbahce vs Istanbul

Fenerbahce
87.5%
Draw
9.4%
Istanbul Basaksehir
3.1%
32
Head to Head
Jun 11, 2023 6.45pm
Final
Fenerbahce
2-0
Istanbul
Batshuayi (1', 29')
Zajc (14'), Aziz (88')

Turuc (67'), Paulin Keny (88')
Apr 19, 2023 6.30pm
Gameweek 30
Istanbul
1-2
Fenerbahce
Aleksic (30')
Pedro (88', 90+3')
Oct 22, 2022 6pm
Feb 5, 2022 4pm
Gameweek 24
Fenerbahce
0-1
Istanbul

Crespo (24'), Ozer (38'), Berisha (72')
Ozcan (61')
Turuc (39'), Cigerci (51'), Duarte (69'), Ozcan (75')
Sep 19, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 5
Istanbul
2-0
Fenerbahce
Okaka (16'), Gulbrandsen (90')

Gustavo (83')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray11101032112131
2Fenerbahce118212791826
3Samsunspor1281324131125
4EyupsporEyupspor126421811722
5BesiktasBesiktas116321910921
6Goztepe SKGoztepe SK115331913618
7SivassporSivasspor125251720-317
8Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul114431714316
9KasimpasaKasimpasa123541619-314
10KonyasporKonyaspor124261420-614
11AntalyasporAntalyaspor124261524-914
12Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor114161019-913
13TrabzonsporTrabzonspor112631214-212
14GaziantepGaziantep113351518-312
15KayserisporKayserispor112631116-512
16Bodrumspor123271016-611
17AlanyasporAlanyaspor11245914-510
18Hatayspor111371018-86
19Adana Demirspor11029925-162


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