Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 3
Sep 28, 2023 at 6pm UK
Ulker Stadyumu Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu Spor Kompleksi
We said: Fenerbahce 3-0 Istanbul Basaksehir
While Fenerbahce have conceded three goals across five Super Lig victories this season, Istanbul Basaksehir have scored three goals while suffering four defeats.
With that in mind, we expect the Yellow Canaries to cruise to another comfortable win on home soil, piling more pressure on Atan and his players.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 66.83% . A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 14.51% .
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.3% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 1-0 (9.13%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.68%) , while for a Istanbul Basaksehir win it was 1-2 (4.13%) . The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.
Result Fenerbahce Draw Istanbul Basaksehir 66.83% ( 0.08) 18.66% ( 0.07) 14.51% ( -0.15)
Both teams to score 54.92% ( -0.69)
62.15% ( -0.69) 37.85% ( 0.69)
39.9% ( -0.74) 60.1% ( 0.75)
89.52% ( -0.17) 10.48% ( 0.17)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 65.89% ( -0.39) 34.11% ( 0.39)
Istanbul Basaksehir Goals
61.35% ( -0.65) 38.65% ( 0.65)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 24.61% ( -0.63) 75.39% ( 0.63)
Fenerbahce 66.83%
Istanbul Basaksehir 14.51%
Draw 18.66%
Fenerbahce Draw Istanbul Basaksehir 2-0 @ 10.3% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.13% ( 0.24) 3-0 @ 7.75% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 7.37% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 4.37% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 4.16% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 3.5% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 1.97% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.88% ( -0.04) Other @ 4.63% Total : 66.83% 1-1 @ 8.68% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 4.05% ( 0.13) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.16% Total : 18.66% 1-2 @ 4.13% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 3.85% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 1.83% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.92% Total : 14.51%
How you voted: Fenerbahce vs Istanbul
Fenerbahce
Draw
Istanbul Basaksehir
32
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-07-02 16:34:56
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