Galatasaray1 - 0Istanbul
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, April 30 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Thursday, May 4 at 6.30pm in Turkish Cup
for
We said: Galatasaray 3-1 Istanbul Basaksehir
Galatasaray have been firing on all cylinders in front of their fans of late, netting 13 times across their last four home matches. We are tipping the hosts to come away with a routine win at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 67.74%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 14.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 1-0 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.42%), while for a Istanbul Basaksehir win it was 1-2 (4.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Galatasaray | Draw | Istanbul Basaksehir |
67.74% ( -0.24) | 18.2% ( 0.17) | 14.06% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 55.42% ( -0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.37% ( -0.66) | 36.63% ( 0.65) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.22% ( -0.72) | 58.78% ( 0.71) |
| Galatasaray Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.08% ( -0.24) | 9.92% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 67.17% ( -0.54) | 32.83% ( 0.54) |
| Istanbul Basaksehir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.53% ( -0.33) | 38.47% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.78% ( -0.31) | 75.22% ( 0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Galatasaray | Draw | Istanbul Basaksehir |
| 2-0 @ 10.18% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 9.73% ( 0.03)1-0 @ 8.82% ( 0.19)3-0 @ 7.85% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 7.5% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 4.53% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 4.33% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 3.58% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 2.1% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.06)5-1 @ 2% ( -0.06)5-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.04)Other @ 4.09% Total : 67.73% | 1-1 @ 8.42% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 4.65% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 3.82% ( 0.12)3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.17% Total : 18.2% | 1-2 @ 4.02% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 3.64% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 1.74% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.89% Total : 14.06% |
How you voted: Galatasaray vs Istanbul
Ndayishimiye (44')
Chadli (35'), Ndayishimiye (87'), Gulbrandsen (90+1'), Duarte (90+4'), Sengezer (90+9')
Duarte (90+5')
