Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 32

Apr 30, 2023 at 5pm UK

UnionplatzHasan Doğan Milli Takımlar Kamp ve Eğitim Tesisleri

Besiktas
3 - 1
Galatasaray

Saiss (35'), Hadziahmetovic (58'), Aboubakar (90+3')
Saiss (67'), Masuaku (70'), Rosier (70'), Ucan (75'), Aboubakar (90+4'), Colley (90+7')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Icardi (20')
Rashica (45+3'), Yilmaz (72')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Besiktas and Galatasaray, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Besiktas

All competitions

Last Game: Umraniyespor 0-2 Besiktas
Saturday, April 22 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

Goals
for

Top scorers

Galatasaray

All competitions

Last Game: Galatasaray 3-3 Karagumruk
Sunday, April 23 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Besiktas 1-1 Galatasaray

Despite having the best away record in the division, Galatasaray may have their work cut out for them here against a defensively-strong Besiktas side that have only conceded one goal in their last five games. Galatasaray certainly have the firepower to win this match, but we think the Black Eagles will be resilient enough to earn themselves a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 42.61%. A win for Galatasaray had a probability of 32.98% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Galatasaray win was 1-2 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Besiktas would win this match.

Result
Besiktas	Draw	Galatasaray
42.61% ( -0.35)	24.4% ( 0)	32.98% ( 0.35)

Both teams to score 59.11% (

0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.43% (

0.1)

43.56% (

-0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.04% (

0.1)

65.96% (

-0.1)

Besiktas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.42% (

-0.12)

20.57% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.89% (

-0.19)

53.1% (

0.19)

Galatasaray Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.42% (

0.26)

25.57% (

-0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.55% (

0.35)

60.44% (

-0.35)

Score Analysis

Besiktas 42.61%

Galatasaray 32.98%

Draw 24.4%

Besiktas	Draw	Galatasaray
2-1 @ 8.97% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 8.32% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 6.58% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 4.73% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.47% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.22% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.87% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0) Other @ 2.82% Total : 42.61%	1-1 @ 11.34% 2-2 @ 6.12% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.26% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.4%	1-2 @ 7.73% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 7.17% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.89% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 3.52% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.78% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.52% Total : 32.98%