We said: Galatasaray 2-0 Kayserispor
Kayserispor have been impressive on the road this season, but they did come unstuck in their most recent away trip, losing 4-1 away at second-placed Fenerbahce.
With Galatasaray going strong at the top of the table, it would be unwise to back anything other than a home victory, and they could win by a comfortable margin.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 75.71%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for Kayserispor had a probability of 9.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.48%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.85%), while for a Kayserispor win it was 1-2 (2.86%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.