Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 23

Feb 5, 2023 at 4pm UK

NEF Stadyumu

Galatasaray
2 - 1
Trabzonspor

Mertens (18'), Icardi (53' pen.)
Nelsson (20')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Gomez (1')
Elmali (20'), Trezeguet (51'), Gbamin (77')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Galatasaray and Trabzonspor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Galatasaray

All competitions

Last Game: Galatasaray 3-2 Umraniyespor
Wednesday, February 1 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

Goals
for

Top scorers

Trabzonspor

All competitions

Last Game: Trabzonspor 2-0 Antalyaspor
Wednesday, February 1 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Galatasaray 2-1 Trabzonspor

Given the length of their winning streak, it is simply unrealistic to back against Galatasaray right now. While we expect Trabzonspor to push their hosts, they have not shown enough this campaign to suggest that they can get over the line versus the leaders on away territory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 59.78%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Trabzonspor had a probability of 19.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.34%) and 1-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.77%), while for a Trabzonspor win it was 1-2 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Galatasaray in this match.

Result
Galatasaray	Draw	Trabzonspor
59.78% ( 0.61)	21.03% ( 0.07)	19.19% ( -0.68)

Both teams to score 56.91% (

-1.48)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.83% (

-1.38)

40.18% (

1.39)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.46% (

-1.44)

62.55% (

1.45)

Galatasaray Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.92% (

-0.26)

13.08% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.31% (

-0.53)

39.69% (

0.53)

Trabzonspor Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.48% (

-1.5)

34.52% (

1.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.76% (

-1.63)

71.24% (

1.63)

Score Analysis

Galatasaray 59.78%

Trabzonspor 19.19%

Draw 21.03%

Galatasaray	Draw	Trabzonspor
2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 9.34% ( 0.41) 1-0 @ 9.19% ( 0.49) 3-1 @ 6.74% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 6.33% ( 0.22) 3-2 @ 3.58% ( -0.17) 4-1 @ 3.43% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 3.22% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.11) 5-1 @ 1.39% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.31% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.5% Total : 59.78%	1-1 @ 9.77% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.2) 0-0 @ 4.52% ( 0.28) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.19% Total : 21.03%	1-2 @ 5.2% ( -0.14) 0-1 @ 4.8% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.15) 1-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.02% Total : 19.19%