Gaziantep

3 - 1

Karagumruk

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 42.28%. A win for Gaziantep had a probability of 31.57% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest Gaziantep win was 1-0 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Gaziantep would win this match.