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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 33
Apr 20, 2024 at 11.30am UK
Bahcelievler Il Ozel Idare Stadyumu

Istanbulspor
1 - 2
Karagumruk

Coly (85')
Vorobjovas (47'), Loshaj (90+8'), Coly (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Yalcin (86'), Feghouli (90+7' pen.)
Gunter (22'), Mor (64'), Biraschi (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Istanbulspor and Fatih Karagumruk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hatayspor 0-3 Istanbulspor
Sunday, April 14 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Istanbulspor 2-1 Fatih Karagumruk

Fatih Karagumruk have dominated recent meetings, but Istanbulspor seem to be finally free from the mental shackles that held them following their last win. Both teams are shaky defensively, but we think that the home side could edge this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 61.25%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Istanbulspor had a probability of 17.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.04%) and 1-2 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Istanbulspor win it was 1-0 (5.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fatih Karagumruk would win this match.

Result
IstanbulsporDrawFatih Karagumruk
17.02% (-0.077000000000002 -0.08) 21.72% (-0.49 -0.49) 61.25% (0.566 0.57)
Both teams to score 50.39% (1.372 1.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.22% (1.917 1.92)46.78% (-1.918 -1.92)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.96% (1.768 1.77)69.04% (-1.768 -1.77)
Istanbulspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.12% (1.047 1.05)40.88% (-1.048 -1.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.55% (0.924 0.92)77.45% (-0.92400000000001 -0.92)
Fatih Karagumruk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.23% (0.825 0.83)14.77% (-0.825 -0.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.98% (1.556 1.56)43.02% (-1.557 -1.56)
Score Analysis
    Istanbulspor 17.02%
    Fatih Karagumruk 61.24%
    Draw 21.72%
IstanbulsporDrawFatih Karagumruk
1-0 @ 5.4% (-0.283 -0.28)
2-1 @ 4.62% (0.03 0.03)
2-0 @ 2.42% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-1 @ 1.38% (0.048 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.32% (0.081 0.08)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 17.02%
1-1 @ 10.33% (-0.23 -0.23)
0-0 @ 6.04% (-0.501 -0.5)
2-2 @ 4.42% (0.153 0.15)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 21.72%
0-1 @ 11.54% (-0.61 -0.61)
0-2 @ 11.04% (-0.24 -0.24)
1-2 @ 9.88% (0.065999999999999 0.07)
0-3 @ 7.04% (0.049 0.05)
1-3 @ 6.3% (0.22 0.22)
0-4 @ 3.37% (0.118 0.12)
1-4 @ 3.01% (0.188 0.19)
2-3 @ 2.82% (0.176 0.18)
2-4 @ 1.35% (0.12 0.12)
0-5 @ 1.29% (0.081 0.08)
1-5 @ 1.15% (0.103 0.1)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 61.24%

Head to Head
Dec 1, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 14
Karagumruk
3-0
Istanbulspor
Jensen (45' og.), Mendes (49'), Keles (53')
Ceccherini (35'), Yalcin (56'), Dresevic (83')

Yesil (41')
Apr 3, 2023 6.30pm
Oct 3, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 8
Karagumruk
1-2
Istanbulspor
Diagne (37')
Rroca (69'), Topalli (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray12111033112234
2Fenerbahce1292133112229
3Samsunspor1382325141126
4EyupsporEyupspor136431913622
5Goztepe SKGoztepe SK126332315821
6BesiktasBesiktas126332114721
7SivassporSivasspor135351720-318
8Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul124441717016
9Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor125161220-816
10TrabzonsporTrabzonspor123631714315
11GaziantepGaziantep124351818015
12KasimpasaKasimpasa133641619-315
13KonyasporKonyaspor134361521-615
14AntalyasporAntalyaspor124261524-914
15KayserisporKayserispor122641322-912
16AlanyasporAlanyaspor122551015-511
17Bodrumspor133281017-711
18Hatayspor121471119-87
19Adana Demirspor120210930-212


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