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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 8
Oct 8, 2023 at 5pm UK
Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadyumu

Kasimpasa
0 - 2
Fenerbahce


Ngoy (55'), Omeruo (87'), Ciftpinar (89')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Dzeko (6'), Tadic (45+3' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Kasimpasa and Fenerbahce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kasimpasa

All competitions
Last Game: Karagumruk 2-3 Kasimpasa
Sunday, October 1 at 11.30am in Turkish Super Lig

Fenerbahce

All competitions
Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Spartak Trnava 1-2 Fenerbahce
Thursday, October 5 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Kasimpasa 0-1 Fenerbahce

 Kasimpasa have lost just one of their first seven matches in the Super Lig, but the Apaches are yet to face a side who can cut through a defence like Fenerbahce. The Yellow Canaries made a raft of changes for the Conference League win in Slovakia on Thursday, meaning the league leaders' star names will be fresh and raring to extend the visitors' domestic winning run to eight matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 62.01%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 16.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.91%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.09%), while for a Kasimpasa win it was 1-0 (5.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.

Result
KasimpasaDrawFenerbahce
16.73% (-0.45 -0.45) 21.26% (-0.243 -0.24) 62.01% (0.692 0.69)
Both teams to score 51.28% (-0.144 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.73% (0.28 0.28)45.27% (-0.281 -0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.39% (0.26900000000001 0.27)67.61% (-0.26900000000001 -0.27)
Kasimpasa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.66% (-0.38200000000001 -0.38)40.34% (0.382 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.04% (-0.349 -0.35)76.96% (0.348 0.35)
Fenerbahce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.96% (0.30499999999999 0.3)14.04% (-0.305 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.39% (0.595 0.59)41.61% (-0.597 -0.6)
Score Analysis
    Kasimpasa 16.73%
    Fenerbahce 62.01%
    Draw 21.25%
KasimpasaDrawFenerbahce
1-0 @ 5.14% (-0.117 -0.12)
2-1 @ 4.58% (-0.101 -0.1)
2-0 @ 2.34% (-0.078 -0.08)
3-1 @ 1.39% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.36% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 16.73%
1-1 @ 10.09% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-0 @ 5.67% (-0.068 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4.5% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Other @ 1%
Total : 21.25%
0-1 @ 11.12% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 10.91% (0.11 0.11)
1-2 @ 9.91% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-3 @ 7.14% (0.148 0.15)
1-3 @ 6.48% (0.069 0.07)
0-4 @ 3.51% (0.111 0.11)
1-4 @ 3.18% (0.068 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.94%
2-4 @ 1.44% (0.016 0.02)
0-5 @ 1.38% (0.058 0.06)
1-5 @ 1.25% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 62.01%

How you voted: Kasimpasa vs Fenerbahce

Kasimpasa
4.3%
Draw
8.7%
Fenerbahce
87.0%
23
Head to Head
Jan 29, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 21
Fenerbahce
5-1
Kasimpasa
Valencia (37' pen., 39', 52', 69'), Batshuayi (90+2')
Fall (24')
> Preview
Aug 15, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Kasimpasa
0-6
Fenerbahce

Hadergjonaj (21'), Hajradinovic (42'), Bahoken (54')
Emre Yesilyurt (16')
King (8'), Valencia (34', 58'), Mor (45+3'), Guler (86', 90+2')
Kadioglu (42')
Feb 28, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 27
Kasimpasa
1-2
Fenerbahce
Muleka (67')
Eysseric (48'), Elmali (90+3'), Spajic (90+4'), Donk (90+7'), Mabil (90+7')
Mabil (90+7')
Zajc (6'), Szalai (90+1')
Dursun (86')
> Preview
Oct 3, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 8
Fenerbahce
2-1
Kasimpasa
Berisha (16'), Gustavo (45+5')
Crespo (26'), Rossi (45+2'), Gustavo (59'), Aziz (73'), Novak (74')
Travnik (53')
Sadiku (35'), Bozok (62'), Aytac (76')
> Preview
Apr 25, 2021 6.30pm
Gameweek 37
Fenerbahce
3-2
Kasimpasa
Valencia (15')
Hajradinovic (21'), Szalai (40'), Valencia (45+1' pen.), Hadergjonaj (82' pen.)
Kiese Thelin (33'), Kahveci (42'), Tekin (81')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray11101032112131
2Fenerbahce118212791826
3Samsunspor1281324131125
4EyupsporEyupspor126421811722
5BesiktasBesiktas116321910921
6Goztepe SKGoztepe SK115331913618
7SivassporSivasspor125251720-317
8Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul114431714316
9KasimpasaKasimpasa123541619-314
10KonyasporKonyaspor124261420-614
11AntalyasporAntalyaspor124261524-914
12Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor114161019-913
13TrabzonsporTrabzonspor112631214-212
14GaziantepGaziantep113351518-312
15KayserisporKayserispor112631116-512
16Bodrumspor123271016-611
17AlanyasporAlanyaspor11245914-510
18Hatayspor111371018-86
19Adana Demirspor11029925-162
> Turkish Super Lig Full Table


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