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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 21
Jan 29, 2023 at 4pm UK
Ülker Stadyumu Fenerbahçe Şükrü Saracoğlu Spor Kompleksi

Fenerbahce
5 - 1
Kasimpasa

Valencia (37' pen., 39', 52', 69'), Batshuayi (90+2')
Guler (45'), Crespo (89')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Fall (24')
Tirpan (26'), Donk (10'), Kara (90'), Ciftpinar (90+5'), Ciftpinar (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Fenerbahce and Kasimpasa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fenerbahce

All competitions
Last Game: Umraniyespor 1-2 Fenerbahce
Monday, January 23 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

Kasimpasa

All competitions
Last Game: Kasimpasa 1-3 Istanbul
Saturday, January 21 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Fenerbahce 3-0 Kasimpasa

 Batshuayi and Valencia will surely be too much for fading Kasimpasa and a routine win is a likely outcome for Jorge Jesus's high-flying Fenerbahce. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 75.61%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 9.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.75%) and 2-1 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.05%), while for a Kasimpasa win it was 1-2 (2.82%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.

Result
FenerbahceDrawKasimpasa
75.61% (0.042000000000002 0.04) 15.04% (0.032999999999999 0.03) 9.34% (-0.076099999999999 -0.08)
Both teams to score 50.84% (-0.477 -0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.53% (-0.434 -0.43)34.47% (0.433 0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.6% (-0.489 -0.49)56.39% (0.489 0.49)
Fenerbahce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.38% (-0.091000000000008 -0.09)7.61% (0.09 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.78% (-0.23399999999999 -0.23)27.22% (0.233 0.23)
Kasimpasa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.03% (-0.463 -0.46)44.97% (0.463 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.09% (-0.372 -0.37)80.91% (0.371 0.37)
Score Analysis
    Fenerbahce 75.61%
    Kasimpasa 9.34%
    Draw 15.04%
FenerbahceDrawKasimpasa
2-0 @ 11.35% (0.15 0.15)
3-0 @ 9.75% (0.081999999999999 0.08)
2-1 @ 9.07% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-0 @ 8.82% (0.154 0.15)
3-1 @ 7.79% (-0.035 -0.04)
4-0 @ 6.27% (0.024 0.02)
4-1 @ 5.01% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
5-0 @ 3.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 3.11% (-0.054 -0.05)
5-1 @ 2.58% (-0.035 -0.03)
4-2 @ 2% (-0.045 -0.04)
6-0 @ 1.39% (-0.008 -0.01)
6-1 @ 1.11% (-0.021 -0.02)
5-2 @ 1.03% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 75.61%
1-1 @ 7.05% (0.034 0.03)
2-2 @ 3.63% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-0 @ 3.42% (0.076 0.08)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 15.04%
1-2 @ 2.82% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-1 @ 2.74% (0.025 0.03)
0-2 @ 1.09% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 0.97% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 9.34%

How you voted: Fenerbahce vs Kasimpasa

Fenerbahce
89.5%
Draw
7.9%
Kasimpasa
2.6%
38
Head to Head
Aug 15, 2022 7.45pm
Kasimpasa
0-6
Fenerbahce

Hadergjonaj (21'), Hajradinovic (42'), Bahoken (54')
Emre Yesilyurt (16')
King (8'), Valencia (34', 58'), Mor (45+3'), Guler (86', 90+2')
Kadioglu (42')
Feb 28, 2022 5pm
Kasimpasa
1-2
Fenerbahce
Muleka (67')
Eysseric (48'), Elmali (90+3'), Spajic (90+4'), Donk (90+7'), Mabil (90+7')
Mabil (90+7')
Zajc (6'), Szalai (90+1')
Dursun (86')
Oct 3, 2021 2pm
Fenerbahce
2-1
Kasimpasa
Berisha (16'), Gustavo (45+5')
Crespo (26'), Rossi (45+2'), Gustavo (59'), Aziz (73'), Novak (74')
Travnik (53')
Sadiku (35'), Bozok (62'), Aytac (76')
Apr 25, 2021 6.30pm
Fenerbahce
3-2
Kasimpasa
Valencia (15')
Hajradinovic (21'), Szalai (40'), Valencia (45+1' pen.), Hadergjonaj (82' pen.)
Kiese Thelin (33'), Kahveci (42'), Tekin (81')
Jan 4, 2021 4pm
Kasimpasa
0-3
Fenerbahce

Sadiku (64'), Yildirim (81')
Thiam (14', 45+1'), Kadioglu (86')
Gumus (55')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray109102992028
2Samsunspor1181222101225
3Fenerbahce107212391423
4BesiktasBesiktas106221910920
5EyupsporEyupspor115421711619
6SivassporSivasspor115241716117
7Goztepe SKGoztepe SK104331713415
8Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul104331714315
9KasimpasaKasimpasa113531517-214
10KonyasporKonyaspor114251418-414
11TrabzonsporTrabzonspor102621111012
12GaziantepGaziantep103341415-112
13Bodrumspor11326813-511
14AntalyasporAntalyaspor113261222-1011
15AlanyasporAlanyaspor11245914-510
16Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor10316718-1110
17KayserisporKayserispor10163915-69
18Hatayspor10037717-103
19Adana Demirspor10028924-152
> Turkish Super Lig Full Table


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