We said: Samsunspor 3-1 Hatayspor
Samsunspor, in strong form and with home advantage, are favorites to win against a struggling Hatayspor side, who are without a win in their last 10 matches and have been particularly poor on the road - which is why we are expecting a dominant performance from the hosts and a comfortable victory for them.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Samsunspor win with a probability of 61.24%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Hatayspor had a probability of 17.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Samsunspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.79%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.22%), while for a Hatayspor win it was 0-1 (5.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Samsunspor would win this match.