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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 23
Feb 7, 2025 at 5pm UK
Stadyum Samsun

Samsunspor
2 - 0
Hatayspor

Mouandilmadji (3'), Yavru (7')
Dimata (70')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Fernandes (27'), Kilama (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Samsunspor and Hatayspor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Istanbul 4-0 Samsunspor
Saturday, February 1 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Hatayspor 2-3 Antalyaspor
Saturday, February 1 at 10.30am in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Samsunspor 3-1 Hatayspor

Samsunspor, in strong form and with home advantage, are favorites to win against a struggling Hatayspor side, who are without a win in their last 10 matches and have been particularly poor on the road - which is why we are expecting a dominant performance from the hosts and a comfortable victory for them. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Samsunspor win with a probability of 61.24%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Hatayspor had a probability of 17.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Samsunspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.79%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.22%), while for a Hatayspor win it was 0-1 (5.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Samsunspor would win this match.

Result
SamsunsporDrawHatayspor
61.24% (-0.158 -0.16) 21.53% (0.085000000000001 0.09) 17.23% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Both teams to score 51.43% (-0.13 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.4% (-0.249 -0.25)45.6% (0.25 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.08% (-0.236 -0.24)67.92% (0.238 0.24)
Samsunspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.61% (-0.13 -0.13)14.39% (0.131 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.72% (-0.254 -0.25)42.28% (0.256 0.26)
Hatayspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.07% (-0.061 -0.06)39.93% (0.061 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.42% (-0.055 -0.05)76.58% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Samsunspor 61.23%
    Hatayspor 17.23%
    Draw 21.52%
SamsunsporDrawHatayspor
1-0 @ 11.13% (0.06 0.06)
2-0 @ 10.79% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.91% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 6.98% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.41% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-0 @ 3.38% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-1 @ 3.11% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.94% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.43% (-0.016 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.31% (-0.016 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.2% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 61.23%
1-1 @ 10.22% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.74% (0.061 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.55% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 21.52%
0-1 @ 5.27% (0.047 0.05)
1-2 @ 4.69% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.42% (0.018 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.44% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.39% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 17.23%

How you voted: Samsunspor vs Hatayspor

Samsunspor
92.3%
Draw
7.7%
Hatayspor
0.0%
26
Head to Head
Sep 1, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Hatayspor
0-3
Samsunspor
Muja (37'), Mouandilmadji (51'), Ntcham (75')
Ait Bennasser (17'), Bola (59')
Mar 17, 2024 1pm
Gameweek 30
Hatayspor
3-0
Samsunspor
Strandberg (3'), Dele-Bashiru (89'), Rivas (90+2')
Alici (34'), Demirel (35'), Ghoulam (60'), Kardesler (69'), Maksimovic (80')

Kilinc (41')
Nov 4, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 11
Samsunspor
2-1
Hatayspor
Kara (77' pen.), Schindler (90+9')
Gisdol (0'), Tirpan (45+5'), Ait Bennasser (77'), Schindler (90+10')
Lamkel Ze (36')
Massanga (45+1'), Saglam (45+3'), Alici (62'), Ghoulam (71'), Fernandes (76'), Kardesler (78')
Fernandes (90+11')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray26215064273768
2Fenerbahce25194263234061
3Samsunspor26155644301450
4BesiktasBesiktas25128539251444
5EyupsporEyupspor26127739281143
6Goztepe SKGoztepe SK25106943331036
7Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul2510694134736
8GaziantepGaziantep25105103535035
9Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor26103133444-1033
10AntalyasporAntalyaspor2696113047-1733
11TrabzonsporTrabzonspor258894031932
12KasimpasaKasimpasa2671184551-632
13AlanyasporAlanyaspor2687113038-831
14KonyasporKonyaspor2677123240-828
15SivassporSivasspor2676133142-1127
16Bodrumspor2676131829-1127
17KayserisporKayserispor2569102745-1827
18Hatayspor2537152644-1816
19Adana Demirspor2624202560-35-2


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