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Istanbul Basaksehir
Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 22
Feb 1, 2025 at 4pm UK
Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadyumu

Istanbul
4 - 0
Samsunspor

Piatek (19', 58', 69'), Davidson (86')
Turuc (21'), Crespo (31')
FT(HT: 1-0)

van Drongelen (25'), Cift (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Istanbul Basaksehir and Samsunspor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Alanyaspor 5-4 Istanbul
Saturday, January 25 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Samsunspor 2-1 Gaziantep
Friday, January 24 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Istanbul Basaksehir 1-1 Samsunspor

Samsunspor's strong form means they are the favourites for this clash – however, their recent away form suggests that this game could be a close one, which is why we are predicting a stalemate. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 48.72%. A win for Samsunspor had a probability of 26.28% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Samsunspor win was 0-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Istanbul Basaksehir would win this match.

Result
Istanbul BasaksehirDrawSamsunspor
48.72% (-0.167 -0.17) 25% (-0.012 -0.01) 26.28% (0.18 0.18)
Both teams to score 53.01% (0.195 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.28% (0.181 0.18)49.72% (-0.18 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.27% (0.162 0.16)71.73% (-0.16200000000001 -0.16)
Istanbul Basaksehir Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.56% (0.0019999999999953 0)20.43% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.12% (0.00099999999999767 0)52.88% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Samsunspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.62% (0.245 0.25)33.37% (-0.246 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30% (0.267 0.27)70% (-0.267 -0.27)
Score Analysis
    Istanbul Basaksehir 48.72%
    Samsunspor 26.28%
    Draw 25%
Istanbul BasaksehirDrawSamsunspor
1-0 @ 10.83% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.44% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.6% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
3-1 @ 5% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 4.55% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.74% (0.017 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.98% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.81% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.09% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 48.72%
1-1 @ 11.88% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.82% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.18% (0.031 0.03)
3-3 @ 1% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25%
0-1 @ 7.48% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.52% (0.039 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.11% (0.024 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.39% (0.03 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.89% (0.024 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.5% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 26.28%

How you voted: Istanbul vs Samsunspor

Istanbul Basaksehir
28.6%
Draw
28.6%
Samsunspor
42.9%
7
Head to Head
Sep 18, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 3
Samsunspor
2-0
Istanbul
Mouandilmadji (65'), Van Drongelen (72')
Yavru (34'), Kilinc (68'), Mouandilmadji (76'), Bola (90+6'), Yuksel (90+3')

Duarte (49'), Ozdemir (90+6')
Mar 3, 2024 10.30am
Gameweek 28
Istanbul
1-0
Samsunspor
Aleksic (47')

Antalyali (69'), Celik (76'), van Drongelen (83')
Mouandilmadji (34')
Oct 22, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 9
Samsunspor
0-0
Istanbul
Kilinc (41'), Mouandilmadji (82')
Dubois (51'), Ba (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray26215064273768
2Fenerbahce25194263234061
3Samsunspor26155644301450
4BesiktasBesiktas24128438231544
5EyupsporEyupspor26127739281143
6Goztepe SKGoztepe SK25106943331036
7Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul2510694134736
8Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor26103133444-1033
9AntalyasporAntalyaspor2696113047-1733
10TrabzonsporTrabzonspor258894031932
11GaziantepGaziantep2495103334-132
12KasimpasaKasimpasa2671184551-632
13AlanyasporAlanyaspor2687113038-831
14KonyasporKonyaspor2677123240-828
15SivassporSivasspor2676133142-1127
16Bodrumspor2676131829-1127
17KayserisporKayserispor2569102745-1827
18Hatayspor2537152644-1816
19Adana Demirspor2624202560-35-2


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