Although Umraniyespor ended their four-match losing streak at home last time out, we still do not think they will have enough to pick up their first win of the season here. Six points separate the sides heading into this clash, and we expect Fatih Karagumruk's quality to shine through. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Umraniyespor win with a probability of 51.5%. A win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 24.98% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Umraniyespor win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest Fatih Karagumruk win was 1-2 (6.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Fatih Karagumruk would win this match.

Result
Umraniyespor	Draw	Fatih Karagumruk
51.5% ( -0.24)	23.52% ( 0.12)	24.98% ( 0.12)

Both teams to score 56.59% (

-0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.59% (

-0.42)

44.41% (

0.42)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.22% (

-0.41)

66.78% (

0.41)

Umraniyespor Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.72% (

-0.25)

17.28% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.38% (

-0.43)

47.62% (

0.44)

Fatih Karagumruk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.41% (

-0.13)

31.58% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.01% (

-0.14)

67.99% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

Umraniyespor 51.5%

Fatih Karagumruk 24.98%

Draw 23.51%

Umraniyespor	Draw	Fatih Karagumruk
2-1 @ 9.69% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.58% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 8.41% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.67% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 4.92% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.49% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.16% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.86% Total : 51.5%	1-1 @ 11.04% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.46% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.51%	1-2 @ 6.36% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.29% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 3.63% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.45% 2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.72% Total : 24.98%