Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luzern win with a probability of 46.96%. A win for St Gallen had a probability of 28.38% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest St Gallen win was 0-1 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Luzern would win this match.