MX23RW : Monday, December 23 09:28:04| >> :300:86500:86500:
Winterthur
Swiss Super League | Gameweek 19
Feb 5, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Schutzenwiese
Lugano

Winterthur
1 - 0
Lugano

Di Giusto (45')
Arnold (42'), Burkart (53'), Diaby (70')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Bottani (18'), Espinoza (38')
Coverage of the Swiss Super League clash between FC Winterthur and Lugano.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Winterthur

All competitions
Last Game: Young Boys 5-1 Winterthur
Sunday, January 29 at 1.15pm in Swiss Super League

Lugano

All competitions
Last Game: Lugano 1-1 Grasshopper
Saturday, January 28 at 5pm in Swiss Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Winterthur win with a probability of 41.1%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 35.08% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Winterthur win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.33%) and 2-0 (5.92%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-2 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Winterthur would win this match.

Result
FC WinterthurDrawLugano
41.1% (-0.217 -0.22) 23.82% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 35.08% (0.194 0.19)
Both teams to score 61.83% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.72% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)40.28% (0.067 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.35% (-0.07 -0.07)62.65% (0.068000000000005 0.07)
FC Winterthur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.12% (-0.13000000000001 -0.13)19.88% (0.129 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.01% (-0.206 -0.21)51.99% (0.204 0.2)
Lugano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.16% (0.072000000000003 0.07)22.83% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.44% (0.108 0.11)56.56% (-0.11 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    FC Winterthur 41.1%
    Lugano 35.08%
    Draw 23.81%
FC WinterthurDrawLugano
2-1 @ 8.75% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-0 @ 7.33% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.92% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.71% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.48% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.19% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.9% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.41% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.29% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 41.1%
1-1 @ 10.82% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.46% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 4.54% (0.014 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.71% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.81%
1-2 @ 8% (0.028 0.03)
0-1 @ 6.7% (0.036 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.95% (0.037 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.94% (0.022 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.18% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.44% (0.024 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.45% (0.012 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.17% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 35.08%

Head to Head
Nov 13, 2022 3.30pm
Lugano
3-1
Winterthur
Celar (7', 15'), El Amine Amoura (89')
Arigoni (33')
Di Giusto (20')
Jul 31, 2022 3.30pm
Winterthur
1-4
Lugano
Buess (11')
Diaby (48'), Ballet (76'), Goncalves (88'), Rodriguez (90+5')
Celar (20', 90+1'), Haile-Selassie (22'), Bottani (31')
Arigoni (27')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LuganoLugano189453024631
2Basel1893640192130
3Lausanne SportLausanne189363122930
4Luzern188553330329
5Servette188552927229
6FC Zurich187652425-127
7Sion187562521426
8St GallenSt Gallen186752923625
9Young Boys186572529-423
10Yverdon Sport184591628-1217
11Grasshopper ZurichGrasshopper183691727-1015
12FC WinterthurWinterthur1834111640-2413
> Swiss Super League Full Table


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