Swiss Super League | Gameweek 13
Oct 23, 2022 at 1.15pm UK
St. Jakob-Park
Basel3 - 1Winterthur
Coverage of the Swiss Super League clash between Basel and FC Winterthur.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Basel 0-0 FC Zurich
Thursday, October 20 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League
Thursday, October 20 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Winterthur 1-0 Sion
Tuesday, October 18 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League
Tuesday, October 18 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 60.93%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for FC Winterthur had a probability of 18.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.64%) and 1-0 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a FC Winterthur win it was 1-2 (5%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Basel would win this match.
Result | ||
Basel | Draw | FC Winterthur |
60.93% ( 0.18) | 20.78% ( -0.07) | 18.29% ( -0.11) |
Both teams to score 56.08% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.53% ( 0.17) | 40.46% ( -0.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.15% ( 0.18) | 62.84% ( -0.18) |
Basel Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.16% ( 0.1) | 12.84% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.8% ( 0.22) | 39.2% ( -0.22) |
FC Winterthur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.35% ( -0.02) | 35.65% ( 0.01) |