Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Servette win with a probability of 40.52%. A win for Lausanne Sport had a probability of 35.69% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Servette win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.21%) and 0-2 (5.8%). The likeliest Lausanne Sport win was 2-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Servette would win this match.