Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 38.43%. A win for Grasshopper Zurich had a probability of 36.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest Grasshopper Zurich win was 0-1 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.
