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Luzern
Swiss Super League | Gameweek 38
May 21, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
swissporarena

Luzern
1 - 2
SLO

Meyer (88' pen.)
Kadak (62'), Villiger (77')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Mahmoud (14', 15')
Akichi (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Swiss Super League clash between Luzern and Stade Lausanne-Ouchy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Yverdon Sport 3-1 Luzern
Saturday, May 18 at 5pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: SLO 0-4 Lausanne
Saturday, May 18 at 5pm in Swiss Super League

We said: Luzern 3-0 Stade Lausanne-Ouchy

The hosts come into this game as the clear favourites and with just four losses at home all season, we expect Luzern to win this one. SLO have failed to score in five of their last seven matches, and we expect them to struggle in front of goal once again here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luzern win with a probability of 68.3%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Stade Lausanne-Ouchy had a probability of 13.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 1-0 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.26%), while for a Stade Lausanne-Ouchy win it was 1-2 (3.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result
LuzernDrawStade Lausanne-Ouchy
68.3% (-0.247 -0.25) 17.91% (0.064 0.06) 13.79% (0.18 0.18)
Both teams to score 55.71% (0.291 0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.11% (0.12200000000001 0.12)35.88% (-0.124 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.03% (0.134 0.13)57.97% (-0.13699999999999 -0.14)
Luzern Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.41% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)9.58% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.94% (-0.061000000000007 -0.06)32.05% (0.057999999999996 0.06)
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.62% (0.337 0.34)38.38% (-0.34 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.87% (0.32 0.32)75.13% (-0.32300000000001 -0.32)
Score Analysis
    Luzern 68.3%
    Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 13.79%
    Draw 17.91%
LuzernDrawStade Lausanne-Ouchy
2-0 @ 10.11% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 9.69% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.62% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)
3-0 @ 7.91% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
3-1 @ 7.57% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 4.64% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-1 @ 4.44% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.63% (0.032 0.03)
5-0 @ 2.17% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-2 @ 2.13% (0.017 0.02)
5-1 @ 2.08% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
5-2 @ 1% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 4.32%
Total : 68.3%
1-1 @ 8.26% (0.016 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.64% (0.046 0.05)
0-0 @ 3.68% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.16% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 17.91%
1-2 @ 3.96% (0.044 0.04)
0-1 @ 3.52% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.69% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.48% (0.029 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.26% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 13.79%

How you voted: Luzern vs SLO

Luzern
73.3%
Draw
20.0%
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
6.7%
15
Head to Head
Mar 10, 2024 3.30pm
Gameweek 27
SLO
2-1
Luzern
Gharbi (58'), Diakite (61')
Hamdiu (8')
Okou (73')
Beloko (42'), Klidje (90+5')
Feb 1, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 21
SLO
0-3
Luzern

Bamba (71'), Hamdiu (90+2')
Klidje (30'), Jasari (34'), Dorn (63')
Klidje (21')
Jul 30, 2023 1.15pm
Gameweek 2
Luzern
2-1
SLO
Villiger (50', 85')
Kadak (30'), Beka (80')
Mahmoud (82')
Hamdiju (26'), Obexer (39'), Bamba (79'), Mahmoud (84'), Danho (87')
Mahmoud (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LuganoLugano189453024631
2Basel1893640192130
3Lausanne SportLausanne189363122930
4Luzern188553330329
5Servette188552927229
6FC Zurich187652425-127
7Sion187562521426
8St GallenSt Gallen186752923625
9Young Boys186572529-423
10Yverdon Sport184591628-1217
11Grasshopper ZurichGrasshopper183691727-1015
12FC WinterthurWinterthur1834111640-2413


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