Luzern's experience at this level gives them the edge over their relatively inexperienced opponents. Nonetheless, we expect a keenly-contested affair with the home side narrowly securing all three points in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luzern win with a probability of 60.82%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Stade Lausanne-Ouchy had a probability of 18.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.3%) and 1-0 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.51%), while for a Stade Lausanne-Ouchy win it was 1-2 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Luzern in this match.

Result
Luzern	Draw	Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
60.82% ( -0.37)	20.57% ( 0.16)	18.6% ( 0.21)

Both teams to score 57.44% (

-0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.03% (

-0.42)

38.97% (

0.42)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.71% (

-0.45)

61.29% (

0.45)

Luzern Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.59% (

-0.23)

12.4% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.7% (

-0.49)

38.29% (

0.49)

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.57% (

-0.03)

34.42% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.86% (

-0.03)

71.14% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Luzern 60.82%

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 18.6%

Draw 20.57%

Luzern	Draw	Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
2-1 @ 9.92% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.3% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.91% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 6.9% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 6.47% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.68% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 3.6% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 3.38% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.83% Total : 60.82%	1-1 @ 9.51% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.29% 0-0 @ 4.27% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.2% Total : 20.57%	1-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 4.55% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 2.43% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.88% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.87% Total : 18.6%