Taca da Liga | Group Stage
Dec 16, 2022 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio Do Dragão
Porto4 - 0Vizela
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Chaves 0-2 Porto
Thursday, December 8 at 7pm in Taca da Liga
Thursday, December 8 at 7pm in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Mafra 1-1 Vizela
Monday, December 5 at 8.45pm in Taca da Liga
Monday, December 5 at 8.45pm in Taca da Liga
We said: Porto 3-0 Vizela
Looking at past results between the sides, Porto head into the weekend as firm favourites to come away with the desired results. Vizela have managed just one win in their last seven matches and we are backing the Dragoes to continue their fine run of results by claiming all three points. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 63.32%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 16.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 1-0 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.42%), while for a Vizela win it was 1-2 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Porto | Draw | Vizela |
63.32% ( -0.13) | 20.12% ( 0.07) | 16.56% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 54.78% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.54% ( -0.17) | 40.46% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.16% ( -0.17) | 62.83% ( 0.17) |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.84% ( -0.09) | 12.16% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 62.22% ( -0.18) | 37.78% ( 0.18) |
| Vizela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.37% ( -0.02) | 37.63% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.59% ( -0.01) | 74.41% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
Porto 63.31%
Vizela 16.57%
Draw 20.12%
| Porto | Draw | Vizela |
| 2-0 @ 10.15% 2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0)1-0 @ 9.64% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 7.14% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 6.97% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 3.76% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 3.67% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.41% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.58% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.72% Total : 63.31% | 1-1 @ 9.42% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.85% 0-0 @ 4.58% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 20.12% | 1-2 @ 4.6% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.47% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.58% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.5% ( 0)Other @ 2.22% Total : 16.57% |
How you voted: Porto vs Vizela
Porto
86.4%Draw
4.5%Vizela
9.1%22
Head to Head
