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Champions League header

Champions League
Porto
Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 1, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
Estádio do Dragão
Atletico Madrid logo

Porto
2 - 1
Atletico

Taremi (5'), Eustaquio (24')
Grujic (39'), Cardoso (69')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Marcano (90+4' og.)
Mandava (42'), Savic (48'), De Paul (68')

The Match

Match Report

Atletico Madrid are knocked out of Europe entirely as Porto secure top spot in Champions League Group B with a 2-1 victory over Diego Simeone's side at the Estadio do Dragao.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Porto and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Santa Clara 1-1 Porto
Saturday, October 29 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Cadiz 3-2 Atletico
Saturday, October 29 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 41.39%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 37.86% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.11%) and 3-2 (4.96%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 1-2 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Porto in this match.

Result
PortoDrawAtletico Madrid
41.39% (0.055 0.05) 20.75% (-0.029 -0.03) 37.86% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Both teams to score 74.44% (0.11799999999999 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
75.82% (0.149 0.15)24.18% (-0.149 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
56.16% (0.197 0.2)43.84% (-0.197 -0.2)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.91% (0.078999999999994 0.08)13.09% (-0.08 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.29% (0.163 0.16)39.71% (-0.162 -0.16)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.66% (0.055000000000007 0.06)14.34% (-0.055999999999999 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.8% (0.10899999999999 0.11)42.2% (-0.10899999999999 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Porto 41.39%
    Atletico Madrid 37.86%
    Draw 20.75%
PortoDrawAtletico Madrid
2-1 @ 7.54% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.11% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 4.96% (0.015 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.88% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-0 @ 3.82% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.63% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 2.6% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.52% (0.015 0.02)
4-3 @ 1.63% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.34% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 1.06% (0.008 0.01)
5-2 @ 1.03% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 41.39%
1-1 @ 7.41% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-2 @ 7.32%
3-3 @ 3.21% (0.016 0.02)
0-0 @ 1.88% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 20.75%
1-2 @ 7.2% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 4.74% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.66% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-1 @ 3.65% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.54% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-4 @ 2.3% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.29% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.26% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-4 @ 1.56% (0.011 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.11% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 4.55%
Total : 37.86%

How you voted: Porto vs Atletico

Porto
55.3%
Draw
24.1%
Atletico Madrid
20.6%
394
Head to Head
Sep 7, 2022 8pm
Group B
Atletico
2-1
Porto
Hermoso (90+1'), Griezmann (90+11')
Uribe (90+6' pen.)
Pepe (54')
Dec 7, 2021 8pm
Group B
Porto
1-3
Atletico
Oliveira (90+6' pen.)
Taremi (32'), Otavio (67'), Pepe (69')
Wendell (70'), Marchesin (75')
Griezmann (56'), Correa (90'), De Paul (90+2')
Correa (67')
Carrasco (67')
Sep 15, 2021 8pm
Group B
Atletico
0-0
Porto

Felix (51'), Kondogbia (52'), Felipe (71')

Diaz (16'), Sanusi (21'), Uribe (41'), Vitinha (67'), Corona (76'), Wendell (83')
Mbemba (90+5')
Dec 11, 2013 7.45pm
Group G
Atletico
2-0
Porto
> Match Report
Oct 1, 2013 7.45pm
Group G
Porto
1-2
Atletico
> Match Report
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