Chaves0 - 2Porto
Form, Standings, Stats
Tuesday, November 22 at 8.45pm in Taca da Liga
Friday, November 25 at 8.45pm in Taca da Liga
We said: Chaves 0-2 Porto
Porto will be looking to quickly get their cup campaign back on track following their somewhat disappointing result against Mafra. The Dragoes will draw inspiration from their current away form as they have picked up six wins and two draws from their last eight games on the road. Given the gulf in quality and experience between the two sides, we are backing Porto to claim all three points in this one. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 58.42%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Chaves had a probability of 18.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.2%) and 1-2 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.05%), while for a Chaves win it was 1-0 (6.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Porto in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Porto.
| Result | ||
| Chaves | Draw | Porto |
18.27% ( 0.82) | 23.31% ( 0.34) | 58.42% ( -1.15) |
| Both teams to score 47.89% ( 0.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.65% ( -0.12) | 51.35% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.83% ( -0.1) | 73.17% ( 0.11) |
| Chaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.91% ( 0.92) | 42.09% ( -0.91) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 21.49% ( 0.78) | 78.51% ( -0.77) |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.7% ( -0.44) | 17.3% ( 0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 52.34% ( -0.79) | 47.66% ( 0.8) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chaves | Draw | Porto |
| 1-0 @ 6.3% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 4.78% ( 0.19)2-0 @ 2.73% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 1.38% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.06)Other @ 1.86% Total : 18.27% | 1-1 @ 11.05% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 7.28% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.2% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.78% Total : 23.31% | 0-1 @ 12.77% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 11.2% ( -0.28)1-2 @ 9.7% ( 0)0-3 @ 6.55% ( -0.27)1-3 @ 5.67% ( -0.08)0-4 @ 2.87% ( -0.16)1-4 @ 2.49% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.08% ( -0)0-5 @ 1.01% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.62% Total : 58.41% |
