Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 41.61%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 31.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Vizela win was 0-1 (9.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.