Primeira Liga | Gameweek 12

Nov 5, 2022 at 6pm UK

Estádio Do Dragão

Porto
4 - 0
Pacos de Ferreira

Evanilson (4', 39'), Taremi (31'), Delgado (55' og.)
Grujic (68'), Mario (82')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Pires (44'), Delgado (69'), Djalo (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Pacos de Ferreira, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Porto 2-1 Atletico
Tuesday, November 1 at 5.45pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Pacos de Ferreira

All competitions

Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 0-1 Maritimo
Friday, October 28 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

We said: Porto 3-0 Pacos de Ferreira

Porto will be licking their lips as they take on a floundering Pacos de Ferreira side who have endured a horrid start to the campaign. Looking at the gulf in quality and experience between the two sides, we are tipping the Dragoes to ease to a comfortable victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 75.4%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 8.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.2%) and 3-0 (10.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.56%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 0-1 (3.17%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
Porto	Draw	Pacos de Ferreira
75.4% ( 0.15)	15.9% ( -0.08)	8.7% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 44.54% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.95% (

0.21)

41.05% (

-0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.56% (

0.21)

63.44% (

-0.2)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.77% (

0.09)

9.23% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.77% (

0.21)

31.23% (

-0.2)

Pacos de Ferreira Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.07% (

0.01)

50.93%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.71% (

0.01)

85.29%

Score Analysis

Porto 75.39%

Pacos de Ferreira 8.7%

Draw 15.9%

Porto	Draw	Pacos de Ferreira
2-0 @ 13.34% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 11.2% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 10.59% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.15% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 6.31% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 4.26% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 3.01% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.41% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 2.03% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.44% ( 0.01) 6-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.46% Total : 75.39%	1-1 @ 7.56% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.7% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 3.04% ( -0) Other @ 0.6% Total : 15.9%	0-1 @ 3.17% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.9% Total : 8.7%