Taca de Portugal | Third Round
Oct 22, 2023 at 3pm UK
Estadio Municipal 25 de Abril
Penafiel3 - 0Santa Maria
Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Third Round clash between Penafiel and Santa Maria.
Form, Standings, Stats
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penafiel win with a probability of 82.73%. A draw had a probability of 12.1% and a win for Santa Maria had a probability of 5.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penafiel win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.79%) and 1-0 (10.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.72%), while for a Santa Maria win it was 0-1 (2.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penafiel would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Penafiel | Draw | Santa Maria |
82.73% ( -0.18) | 12.09% ( 0.06) | 5.19% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 39.17% ( 0.65) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
