European Under-19s Championship | Group Stage
Jul 15, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Seaview
We said: Italy Under-19s 2-0 Norway Under-19s
Italy have won each of their last four matches, scoring 13 goals and conceding on just two occasions, and we think that they will continue their impressive winning run by outclassing Norway in Monday's tournament opener.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy Under-19s win with a probability of 71.65%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Norway Under-19s had a probability of 11.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Italy Under-19s win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 3-0 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.61%), while for a Norway Under-19s win it was 1-2 (3.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Italy Under-19s would win this match.
| Result |
| Italy Under-19s | Draw | Norway Under-19s |
71.65% ( 0.7) | 16.53% ( -0.21) | 11.83% ( -0.49) |
| Both teams to score 54.79% ( -0.88) |
| 65.84% ( -0.33) | 34.16% ( 0.33) |
| 43.96% ( -0.37) | 56.04% ( 0.38) |
| 91.62% ( 0.07) | 8.38% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 70.84% ( 0.17) | 29.16% ( -0.17) |
| 59.8% ( -1.01) | 40.2% ( 1.01) |
