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Ukraine national football team
European Championship | Group Stage
Jun 17, 2021 at 2pm UK
 
North Macedonia national football team

Ukraine
2 - 1
N. Macedonia

Yarmolenko (29'), Yaremchuk (34')
Shaparenko (43')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Alioski (57')
Velkovski (59'), Avramovski (83')

Preview: Ukraine vs. North Macedonia - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Thursday's European Championship clash between Ukraine and North Macedonia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Ukraine and North Macedonia meet in Bucharest on Thursday afternoon, hoping to claim three crucial points in their second Group C match at Euro 2020.

Both sides tasted defeat in their opening games, with Andriy Shevchenko's men losing a thrilling 3-2 encounter with the Netherlands, while the Red Lynxes were defeated 3-1 by Austria.


Match preview

Ukraine manager Andriy Shevchenko on June 7, 2021© Reuters

Ukraine were unable to replicate their efforts from Euro 2012 and win their opening group game, as they came up short against the Netherlands in Amsterdam on Sunday.

After a frantic yet goalless first half, Dutch captain Georginio Wijnaldum pounced on a loose ball to break the deadlock in the 52nd minute, before Wout Weghorst's first-time finish from a tight angle doubled their lead six minutes later.

Ukraine were seemingly heading for defeat; however, Shevchenko's men had other ideas. With 15 minutes remaining, a classic left-footed strike from Andriy Yarmolenko, cutting in from the right flank, pulled one back for the Yellow and Blue before a powerful header from Roman Yaremchuk completed the comeback four minutes later.

The 16,000 Dutch fans in the Johan Cruijff ArenA were silenced heading into the final 10 minutes, but right wing-back Denzel Dumfries ensured they were to roar once more as his 85th-minute header from Nathan Ake's cross sealed all three points for Frank De Boer's side.

Despite defeat, Ukraine can take positives from their opening match. Going toe-to-toe with one of Europe's top nations is no mean feat and their fighting spirit to get back into the game will have pleased Shevchenko.

Ukraine will, however, need to claim something against Euro 2020's lowest-ranked side North Macedonia if they are to keep their hopes of securing a top-two finish in Group C alive.

The Yellow and Blue, who will be the favourites heading into Thursday's clash, have only ever faced the Red Lynxes four times in their history, winning their last two encounters in 2014 and 2015 without conceding a goal.

North Macedonia manager Igor Angelovski on June 1, 2021© Reuters

North Macedonia's first ever match at a major tournament ended in defeat against Austria, who claimed their first ever victory at a European Championships, winning 3-1 in Bucharest on Sunday.

Stefan Lainer's brilliant volley in the 18th minute was quickly cancelled out 10 minutes later, when 37-year-old Goran Pandev pounced on a defensive mix-up inside the penalty area and tapped in to an empty net, to become the second-oldest goalscorer in the tournament's history.

Parity was restored and confidence grew amongst the North Macedonian players, but they were unable to carve out any more clear-cut chances. The Austrians remained a threat and the second-half substitutions made by Franco Foda proved decisive, as goals from forwards Michael Gregoritsch and Marko Arnautovic sealed all three points for Das Team.

Igor Angelovski will have been proud of the brave efforts shown by his players despite suffering defeat, although an even greater performance will likely be needed if they are to claim a much-needed win against Ukraine.

North Macedonia's only victory against the Yellow and Blue came back in 2004 when they won a friendly encounter 1-0 on home soil.

The Red Lynxes, however, failed to score in their other three meetings against them and they can ill afford to draw another blank on Thursday if they are to reach the last 16.

Ukraine European Championship form:
  • L

Ukraine form (all competitions):
  • D
  • D
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • L

North Macedonia European Championship form:
  • L

North Macedonia form (all competitions):
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • L


Team News

Ukraine's Andriy Yarmolenko celebrates scoring their fourth goal with teammates on June 7, 2021© Reuters

Ukraine are set to be without winger Oleksandr Zubkov, who was substituted against the Netherlands with a foot injury in the 13th minute.

Either Brazilian-born Marlos or Viktor Tsygankov could come in to the first XI as the 24-year-old's replacement, and may join Yarmolenko and Yaremchuk in a three-man attack.

Aside from this, Shevchenko is unlikely to make too many changes to his starting lineup and is expected to stick with a 4-3-3 formation.

Defensive midfielder Serhiy Sydorchuk, who is one booking away from a suspension, is set to sit just in front of the back four, and he could be joined in the middle of the pitch by Atalanta BC's Ruslan Malinovskyi and Manchester City's Oleksandr Zinchenko.

Eighteen-year-old Ilya Zabarnyi partnered Mykola Matviyenko at centre-back in the opening match, and both defenders are set to keep their places in the first XI.

As for North Macedonia, Angelovski may decide to stick with the same starting lineup and 3-5-2 formation which was used against Austria last weekend.

Darko Velkovski, Visar Musliu and Stefan Ristovski are all set to keep their places in the back three, while midfielder Boban Nikolov could start again at right wing-back.

Key duo Aleksandar Trajkovski and Ezgjan Alioski – who both received yellow cards in the opening game, and are now just one booking away from a suspension – are set to start up front and at left wing-back respectively.

Trajkovski will likely be joined in attack by captain Pandev, while midfield trio Eljif Elmas, Arijan Ademi and Enis Bardhi are all expected to start again in the middle of the pitch.

Ukraine possible starting lineup:
Bushchan; Karavayev, Zabarnyi, Matviyenko, Mykolenko; Malinovskyi, Sydorchuk, Zinchenko; Yarmolenko, Yaremchuk, Tsygankov

North Macedonia possible starting lineup:
Dimitrievski; S.Ristevski, Velkovski, Musliu; Nikolov, Bardhi, Ademi, Elmas, Alioski; Pandev, Trajkovski


SM words green background

We say: Ukraine 3-1 North Macedonia

Ukraine have failed to score in just two of their last 22 international matches across all competitions, while North Macedonia have only failed to score in one of their last 16 games.

Goals are to be expected in Thursday's clash, which is a crucial game for both sides if they wish to reach the knockout stage.

Although the Red Lynxes are sure to put up a valiant fight, we think Shevchenko's men have that extra quality in the final third to secure all three points in Bucharest.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ukraine win with a probability of 37.38%. A win for North Macedonia had a probability of 36.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ukraine win was 1-0 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.14%). The likeliest North Macedonia win was 0-1 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ukraine would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Ukraine vs N. Macedonia

Ukraine
87.9%
Draw
6.3%
North Macedonia
5.8%
736
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North Macedonia coach Igor Angelovski celebrates with players after qualifying for Euro 2020 in November 2020
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Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania31114
Q Belgium Belgium31114
Q Slovakia Slovakia31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121


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