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Netherlands national football team
Nations League | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Mar 19, 2025 at 11pm UK
Stadion Feijenoord
Spain national football team

Netherlands
vs.
Spain

Coverage of the Nations League Quarter-Finals clash between Netherlands and Spain.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Bosnia H'vina 1-1 Netherlands
Tuesday, November 19 at 7.45pm in Nations League
All competitions
Last Game: Spain 3-2 Switzerland
Monday, November 18 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Spain win with a probability of 37.54%. A win for Netherlands has a probability of 37.37% and a draw has a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.31%) and 0-2 (5.91%). The likeliest Netherlands win is 2-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.78%).

Result
NetherlandsDrawSpain
37.37%25.08%37.54%
Both teams to score 57.48%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.97%46.02%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.67%68.33%
Netherlands Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.76%24.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.42%58.58%
Spain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.86%24.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.55%58.45%
Score Analysis
    Netherlands 37.37%
    Spain 37.54%
    Draw 25.08%
NetherlandsDrawSpain
2-1 @ 8.35%
1-0 @ 8.29%
2-0 @ 5.88%
3-1 @ 3.95%
3-2 @ 2.81%
3-0 @ 2.78%
4-1 @ 1.4%
4-2 @ 0.99%
4-0 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 37.37%
1-1 @ 11.78%
2-2 @ 5.94%
0-0 @ 5.85%
3-3 @ 1.33%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.08%
1-2 @ 8.38%
0-1 @ 8.31%
0-2 @ 5.91%
1-3 @ 3.97%
2-3 @ 2.81%
0-3 @ 2.8%
1-4 @ 1.41%
2-4 @ 1%
0-4 @ 1%
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 37.54%

Head to Head
Nov 11, 2020 7.45pm
Friendlies 1
Netherlands
1-1
Spain
Canales (18')
Reguilon (49'), Olmo (84')
Mar 29, 2020 6pm
International Friendlies
Netherlands
P-P
Spain
Mar 31, 2015 7.45pm
International Friendlies
Netherlands
2-0
Spain
Jun 13, 2014 8pm
Group Stage
Spain
1-5
Netherlands
Alonso (27' pen.)
Casillas (65')
Van Persie (44', 72'), Robben (53', 80'), De Vrij (64')
de Guzman (25'), de Vrij (41'), van Persie (66')
Jun 12, 2013 5pm
rhs 2.0
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