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World Cup
Iraq national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round
Mar 20, 2025 at 6.15pm UK
 
Kuwait national football team

Iraq
vs.
Kuwait

FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Iraq and Kuwait, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Iraq

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Iraq 1-3 Saudi Arabia
Saturday, December 28 at 2.30pm in Gulf Cup of Nations
Next Game: Palestine vs. Iraq
Tuesday, March 25 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Kuwait

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Bahrain 1-0 Kuwait
Tuesday, December 31 at 5.45pm in Gulf Cup of Nations
Next Game: Kuwait vs. Oman
Tuesday, March 25 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

We said: Iraq 1-1 Kuwait

 Having earned four draws from their six encounters, Kuwait have proven tough to beat in this section of the qualification process. With Iraq having struggled in front of goal, we feel that a low-scoring draw could play out, something that would not necessarily benefit either side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iraq win with a probability of 57.02%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Kuwait had a probability of 19.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iraq win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.49%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Kuwait win it was 0-1 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
IraqDrawKuwait
57.02% (-0.53599999999999 -0.54) 23.3% (0.326 0.33) 19.68% (0.21 0.21)
Both teams to score 50.27% (-0.663 -0.66)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.61% (-1.059 -1.06)49.39% (1.057 1.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.56% (-0.96 -0.96)71.44% (0.958 0.96)
Iraq Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.9% (-0.56699999999999 -0.57)17.1% (0.564 0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.71% (-1.007 -1.01)47.29% (1.005 1.01)
Kuwait Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.64% (-0.384 -0.38)39.36% (0.383 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.94% (-0.362 -0.36)76.06% (0.36000000000001 0.36)
Score Analysis
    Iraq 57.01%
    Kuwait 19.68%
    Draw 23.3%
IraqDrawKuwait
1-0 @ 11.88% (0.29 0.29)
2-0 @ 10.49% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.79% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
3-0 @ 6.18% (-0.082 -0.08)
3-1 @ 5.76% (-0.137 -0.14)
4-0 @ 2.73% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.69% (-0.093 -0.09)
4-1 @ 2.55% (-0.11 -0.11)
4-2 @ 1.19% (-0.065 -0.07)
5-0 @ 0.96% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 57.01%
1-1 @ 11.08% (0.16 0.16)
0-0 @ 6.73% (0.285 0.29)
2-2 @ 4.56% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 23.3%
0-1 @ 6.27% (0.203 0.2)
1-2 @ 5.17% (0.019 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.93% (0.065 0.07)
1-3 @ 1.61% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.42% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-3 @ 0.91% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 19.68%

How you voted: Iraq vs Kuwait

Iraq
67.7%
Draw
29.0%
Kuwait
3.2%
31
Head to Head
Sep 10, 2024 7pm
Third Round
Kuwait
0-0
Iraq
Al-Saed (90')
Sulaka (7')
Dec 30, 2022 12pm
International Friendly
Iraq
1-0
Kuwait
Faez (11')
Jan 27, 2021 3pm
Friendlies 3
Iraq
2-1
Kuwait
Dawood (79'), Hussein (89' pen.)
Al Rasheedi (24')
Sep 10, 2018 4.30pm
International Friendlies
Kuwait
2-2
Iraq
Ali Mhawi (47' og.), Al Hajeri (78')
Lateef (5'), Atiyah (65')
rhs 2.0
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