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UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Denmark national football team
Nations League | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Mar 19, 2025 at 11pm UK
Parken (Kobenhavn)
Portugal national football team

Denmark
vs.
Portugal

Coverage of the Nations League Quarter-Finals clash between Denmark and Portugal.

Form, Standings, Stats

Denmark

All competitions
Last Game: Serbia 0-0 Denmark
Monday, November 18 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Portugal

All competitions
Last Game: Croatia 1-1 Portugal
Monday, November 18 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Portugal win with a probability of 42.29%. A win for Denmark has a probability of 31.93% and a draw has a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win is 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.87%) and 0-2 (7.24%). The likeliest Denmark win is 1-0 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.24%).

Result
DenmarkDrawPortugal
31.93%25.78%42.29%
Both teams to score 54.03%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.98%50.01%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28%71.99%
Denmark Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.61%29.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.62%65.38%
Portugal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.51%23.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.49%57.51%
Score Analysis
    Denmark 31.93%
    Portugal 42.29%
    Draw 25.77%
DenmarkDrawPortugal
1-0 @ 8.45%
2-1 @ 7.5%
2-0 @ 5.18%
3-1 @ 3.06%
3-2 @ 2.22%
3-0 @ 2.11%
4-1 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 31.93%
1-1 @ 12.24%
0-0 @ 6.9%
2-2 @ 5.43%
3-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.77%
0-1 @ 10%
1-2 @ 8.87%
0-2 @ 7.24%
1-3 @ 4.28%
0-3 @ 3.5%
2-3 @ 2.62%
1-4 @ 1.55%
0-4 @ 1.27%
2-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2%
Total : 42.29%

Head to Head
Oct 8, 2015 7.45pm
Qualifiers
Portugal
1-0
Denmark
> Match Report
Oct 14, 2014 7.45pm
Qualifiers
Denmark
0-1
Portugal
Ronaldo (95')
Ronaldo (92')
> Match Report
Jun 13, 2012 5pm
Group Stage
Denmark
2-3
Portugal
rhs 2.0
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