Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olimpik Donetsk win with a probability of 47.53%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Mariupol had a probability of 26.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olimpik Donetsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for a Mariupol win it was 0-1 (8.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.